The IAEA Board’s “Non-Compliance” Resolution on 12 June 2025 was the planned precursor for Israel’s “bolt from the blue” strike on Iran the next day. Israelis say the plan to go to war with Iran was grounded in “the opportunity” to strike, and not the intelligence...
Alastair Crooke

The Silence of the Bears
by Alastair Crooke | Jun 10, 2025 | Featured Articles
Russia’s leadership is in “conclave” determining its riposte. Trump has been silent for two days. Unprecedented. In the last days, Ukraine and its facilitators attempted a massive attack on Russia’s strategic nuclear bomber-force; succeeded in collapsing two bridges...

‘One Quiet Early Morning in Beijing, the Dollar’s Crown Slipped’
by Alastair Crooke | Jun 3, 2025 | Featured Articles
“I believe we must start from the notion of defeat leading to revolution – to grasp the Trump revolution.” “The experience underway in the United States, even if we don’t know exactly what it will be, is revolution. Is it a revolution in the strict sense? Is it a...
Why Doesn’t the ‘Deal-Maker’ Close the Deal?
by Alastair Crooke | May 6, 2025 | Featured Articles
The story, both on Ukraine and Iran, is that President Trump wants a “deal” – and both deals are available – yet he seems nonetheless to have boxed himself in. Trump presents his Administration as being something rougher, meaner, and far less sentimental. It aspires...
The Kellogg Framework is a Disaster for Trump
by Alastair Crooke | Apr 29, 2025 | Featured Articles
Political warfare in Washington is endemic. But the body count at the Pentagon has started to rise precipitously. Three of Secretary of Defence Hegseth’s top advisors were placed on leave, and then fired. The war continues, with the Secretary now in the firing line....
A ‘Trump Deal’? Juggling War, ‘Easy War’ and Negotiation
by Alastair Crooke | Apr 26, 2025 | Featured Articles
Trump clearly is in the midst of an existential conflict. He has a landslide mandate. But is ringed by a resolute domestic enemy front in the form of an “industrial concern” infused with Deep State ideology, centred primarily on preserving U.S. global power (rather...
‘Break-a-Leg’ (that old Mafia warning) – Trump has threatened Iran over an ultimatum that likely cannot be met
by Alastair Crooke | Apr 9, 2025 | Featured Articles
Trump’s ultimatum to Iran? Colonel Doug Macgregor compares the Trump ultimatum to Iran to that which Austria-Hungary delivered to Serbia in 1914: An offer, in short, that “could not be refused.” Serbia accepted nine out of the ten demands. But it refused one – and...
Transactional Weakness Tips the Balance of Power – ‘Hold to no Illusions; There is Nothing Beyond This Reality’
by Alastair Crooke | Apr 2, 2025 | Featured Articles
The post-WWII geo-political outcome effectively determined the post-war global economic structure. Both are now undergoing huge change. What remains stuck fast however, is the general (Western) weltanschauung that everything must “change” only for it to stay the same....
Trump and Putin Begin Addressing Cumulated Geo-strategic Debris… Amidst Trump’s Ultimatum to Iran
by Alastair Crooke | Mar 25, 2025 | Featured Articles
The phone call on 18 March between Presidents Trump and Putin has happened. It was a success, insofar as it allowed both sides to label the result as “positive.” And it did not lead to a breakdown (by virtue of the smallest of concessions from Putin – an energy...
Europe Faces a MAGA ‘Vibe-Shift’ as Trump Moves to his Primordial Objective – The Global Reset
by Alastair Crooke | Mar 12, 2025 | Featured Articles
President Trump wants Ukraine settled, full stop. This is so that he can move ahead quickly – to normalise with Russia, and begin the “big picture” project of setting a new World Order, one that will end wars and facilitate business ties. The point here – which Europe...
America as Republic, Not as Empire – Europe’s ‘Sound and Fury’ After Jaw-Dropping Pivots in US Policy
by Alastair Crooke | Feb 27, 2025 | Featured Articles
The bits are falling into a distinct pattern – a pre-prepared pattern. Defence Secretary Hegseth at the Munich Security Conference gave us four “noes”: No to Ukraine in NATO; No to a return to pre-2014 borders; No to “Article 5” peacekeeper backstops, and “No” to US...
The Greatest (Geopolitical) Showman’s ‘Inside Out’ Political Solution
by Alastair Crooke | Feb 7, 2025 | Featured Articles
How to do the impossible? America is instinctively an expansionist power, needing new fields to conquer; new financial horizons to master and to exploit. The US is built that way. Always was. But – if you are Trump, wanting to withdraw from wars on the empire’s...
Is Trump Positioning for a “No-Deal” with Russia – or Not?
by Alastair Crooke | Jan 28, 2025 | Featured Articles
Trump’s rhetoric about Russia having lost one million men in the Ukraine conflict is not just nonsense (the real number not even reaching 100,000), but his resort to it underlines that the usual meme of Trump being just woefully misinformed is looking less and less...
The Competency Crisis Proliferating The West
by Alastair Crooke | Jan 22, 2025 | Featured Articles
The essayist and military strategist, Aurelien, has written a paper entitled: The Strange Defeat (original in French). The “strange defeat” being that of Europe’s “curious” inability to understand Ukraine or its military mechanics. Aurelien highlights the strange lack...
Trump, Iran and the Obama Strategic Blueprint
by Alastair Crooke | Jan 14, 2025 | Featured Articles
Like a smashed antique clock – with its elaborate cogs, ratchet wheels and innards splayed out from the casing – so the mechanics of the Middle East lie similarly exposed and broken. All the region is in play – Syria, Lebanon, Qatar, Jordan, Egypt and Iran. The...
Can Trump Save America From Itself?
by Alastair Crooke | Jan 11, 2025 | Featured Articles
Russian FM Lavrov last week dismissed Team Trump’s floated peace proposals for Ukraine as unsatisfactory. Essentially, the Russian view is that the calls for a frozen conflict precisely miss the point: From the Russian perspective, such ideas – frozen conflicts,...
Imperial Hubris (and its Consequences) in Syria
by Alastair Crooke | Jan 2, 2025 | Featured Articles
The Syria story, it seems, is not so simple as “President Assad fell” and the “technocratic Salafists“ rose to power. At one level, the collapse was predictable. Assad was known to have been influenced by Egypt and UAE for some years past. They had been urging him to...
The ‘King-Makers’ Pull the Rug from Syria, Yet Again… A ‘Greek tragedy’ Begins
by Alastair Crooke | Dec 27, 2024 | Featured Articles
James Jeffrey, former US Ambassador to Iraq and Turkey, in a March 2021 interview with PBS Frontline, laid out very plainly the template for what has just happened in Syria this month: “Syria, given its size, its strategic location, its historical importance, is the...
A New Geo-Political Map is Unfolding – The End of Syria (and of ‘Palestine’ for now)
by Alastair Crooke | Dec 18, 2024 | Featured Articles
Syria has entered the abyss – the demons of al-Qa’eda, ISIS, and the most intransigent elements of the Muslim Brotherhood are circling the skies. There is chaos, looting, fear, and a terrible passion for revenge scalds the blood. Street executions are rife....
Erdogan’s Idlib Shock Shadows ‘Kursk’
by Alastair Crooke | Dec 6, 2024 | Featured Articles
“Doomsters” is an occasional Russian expression used to categorise commentators that only see the “dark side to events” (a vice quite prevalent during the Soviet era). Marat Khairullin, a highly respected Russian military analyst, says, “Today, a network of mercenary...
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